Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.723153 2.907663 3.104402 3.330826 3.585530 3.864748 4.196144
2026-01-18 2.477134 2.735691 3.027515 3.385236 3.817562 4.330870 4.998680
2026-01-25 2.520590 2.864293 3.271781 3.800621 4.484926 5.365539 6.630952
2026-02-01 2.297062 2.647076 3.072333 3.640670 4.403377 5.430007 6.994545
2026-02-08 2.107450 2.453168 2.880747 3.464733 4.270370 5.393423 7.188268
2026-02-15 2.002088 2.355401 2.800708 3.423339 4.308808 5.593010 7.763204
2026-02-22 1.897490 2.250873 2.702917 3.346881 4.285573 5.692604 8.187801
2026-03-01 1.791012 2.137537 2.585697 3.233125 4.194754 5.673543 8.399174
2026-03-08 1.685113 2.019767 2.455938 3.092349 4.050475 5.551698 8.399737
2026-03-15 1.637184 1.976291 2.424004 3.088292 4.111683 5.768052 9.076526
2026-03-22 1.589283 1.930337 2.385725 3.071480 4.150000 5.948305 9.720321
2026-03-29 1.542805 1.884115 2.344424 3.046849 4.172513 6.101869 10.342810
2026-04-05 1.500322 1.846455 2.319981 3.056554 4.269908 6.437494 11.564808
2026-04-12 1.471460 1.826870 2.321070 3.107048 4.444632 6.957942 13.494497
2026-04-19 1.528721 1.930446 2.507148 3.466060 5.211990 8.876595 20.902282
2026-04-26 1.452465 1.838694 2.395756 3.328201 5.043661 8.708913 21.241253
2026-05-03 1.377747 1.746537 2.279852 3.175918 4.834216 8.413697 20.951717
2026-05-10 1.336660 1.701880 2.234446 3.139991 4.847760 8.658092 23.132615
2026-05-17 1.291023 1.648818 2.173618 3.073532 4.793762 8.725773 24.621580
2026-05-24 1.240406 1.586786 2.096449 2.974410 4.665088 8.581465 24.987075
2026-05-31 1.186765 1.518842 2.007873 2.851338 4.478836 8.262616 24.269773
2026-06-07 1.163619 1.495463 1.988093 2.847785 4.538546 8.610330 27.627822
2026-06-14 1.139251 1.469418 1.962959 2.833055 4.573222 8.898842 31.119424